Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 10.707976 11.841043 13.056698 14.460175 16.038563 17.761902 19.790137
2025-10-19 9.007621 10.563232 12.347570 14.554735 17.223978 20.363164 24.357278
2025-10-26 7.650115 9.430142 11.592110 14.431917 18.094187 22.699063 28.992264
2025-11-02 6.586223 8.477722 10.892816 14.238544 18.809911 24.919677 33.842999
2025-11-09 5.739921 7.673631 10.253760 14.001994 19.397919 27.024740 38.874744
2025-11-16 5.084763 7.030877 9.731950 13.828329 20.014491 29.224195 44.392419
2025-11-23 4.576915 6.524424 9.325943 13.745708 20.723190 31.629744 50.617735
2025-11-30 4.256263 6.245307 9.205947 14.057708 22.055235 35.170303 59.303170
2025-12-07 3.884963 5.845603 8.852303 13.947409 22.675073 37.618176 66.537591
2025-12-14 3.520561 5.416440 8.401883 13.615043 22.860278 39.324390 72.706044
2025-12-21 3.258269 5.121496 8.131678 13.543968 23.475182 41.863859 80.929551
2025-12-28 3.125151 5.022174 8.169458 14.003677 25.100286 46.515748 94.354276
2026-01-04 2.985522 4.902844 8.167925 14.406247 26.704281 51.450336 109.635475
2026-01-11 2.807214 4.700384 8.000925 14.482065 27.683723 55.290268 123.380036
2026-01-18 2.616856 4.459407 7.741020 14.348538 28.219779 58.283339 135.843494
2026-01-25 2.437324 4.222055 7.464710 14.149380 28.588815 60.970390 148.211935
2026-02-01 2.270813 3.994350 7.184967 13.910164 28.836213 63.420459 160.585513
2026-02-08 2.128163 3.799299 6.949551 13.735099 29.200834 66.211316 174.637867
2026-02-15 2.009022 3.639117 6.767349 13.651428 29.762419 69.585488 191.305257
2026-02-22 1.941736 3.573370 6.766222 13.959895 31.295222 75.718580 218.143612
2026-03-01 1.837431 3.426366 6.586798 13.849794 31.790794 79.202335 237.597381
2026-03-08 1.720863 3.246149 6.323536 13.519664 31.688076 81.030797 252.079699
2026-03-15 1.637513 3.127108 6.178664 13.448897 32.242698 84.823323 274.636851